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Both Toledo and Ohio have the mentality they can outscore any opponent and why shouldn't they?  The Rockets have scored 82 points or more in 4/5.  The Bobcats have reached 80 or more in three straight and average 81-points per game at home.  These teams met on a neutral floor in the MAC Tournament last March and combined for 167-points. Last year's meeting in Toledo during the regular-season produced 173-points.  It was 157 the last time they met on this floor in Oxford back in 2020.  We have seven double-digit scorers on the floor tonight at the outset.  Ohio U 10-2 'OVER' at home off a conference win and 9-2 'OVER' at home coming off a spread victory. Goes at 6PM ET.

Here in central Florida I woke up to crappy weather with wind and rain.  I imagine it's similar in Tampa.  The Bucs activated linebacker Lavonte David yesterday. He is one of their premier run stoppers and by virtue of him being on the field it makes linebackers Shaquil Barrett and Devin White more effective. From a personnel standpoint, the Bucs are very close to having the identical group of defenders on the field that stymied KC in last year's Super Bowl.  Examining the depth chart, it may be identical.  If anybody can slice through this wind, it's probably the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady.  He will be facing a pass defense that allowed a league-high 69.4 percent completion ratio.  Super Bowl champs off a win and at home are 13-2 straight-up and 10-4-1 ATS.  It's bad enough the Eagles come from the dreaded "NFC Least" Division, but they were also 0-6 ATS this year against playoff-qualifying opponents.  While  you no longer have to worry about laying double-digits thanks to Mother Nature, it nevertheless is curious to know that 10-point or higher home favorites who were in the post-season the year before are 11-1 ATS if they won their season-finale or last game by 10-points or more. Now you get Tampa at a bargain price.  Yes the Eagles were 7-3 down the stretch with four of those wins coming against teams playing their back-up QB.  They only beat one team with a winning record all season. When this idea of expanding the playoffs came about did anybody think it kind of cheapens the value of the playoff qualifiers? Yesterday I thought the Raiders were lucky to make the post-season. You can multiply that about 3X when it comes to the Eagles.  Why do I get the feeling the Eagles' Super Bowl win a few years back against Tom Brady and New England still motivates the G.O.A.T.?  It didn't get  much notoriety but Mike Evans is the only wide receiver in NFL history with eight 1000-yard seasons in his first eight years.  As for Brady all he did at 44 years old was lead the league in touchdowns, yards, completions, and attempts.  The Eagles broke records this year with running the football. Last time I checked Tampa's strength on defense was stopping the run at #3 in the league. Also #3 in the league isn't going to make Jalen Hurts very comfortable. You get the idea by now.  The Philly defense has to be shell-shocked after yielding 51 to Dallas.

Modified Consensus: RUN FOR THE AGES!

Analysis of 4* Baylor +4 1/2, 4* 'UNDER' 159, and 3* Baylor +175 ML on 4/5/2021

On Saturday it looked like night and day defensively between these two teams. Baylor was in the face of every Houston Cougar and played smothering defense throughout. Gonzaga allowed UCLA countless wide-open shots and the Bruins, who hit 44 percent from the field throughout their first five games in the dance (nice sample size) would shoot 57.6% against the Zags.  Of course you could also say UCLA played out of their minds on Saturday and still lost!  It's been a span of eight games since anybody shot better than 48 percent against Baylor. It's been a span of six games since Baylor lost the turnover war and is +43 in that span.  That's incredible.  Gonzaga is the #1 scoring team in the country averaging 91.6 points per game.  Baylor has yielded 63 or less in 4/5 NCAA Tournament games so far.  The problem for Gonzaga is while there's a huge disparity on defense, Baylor is also the #3 scoring team in the nation and #1 in three-point shooting hitting at a 41 percent team clip, which is phenomenal.  Gonzaga was #59 in three-point shooting and were only 7-of-21 on Saturday.  They were only 12-of-20 from the free-throw shooting line. I kind of equate Saturday's UCLA/Gonzaga game to a great heavyweight fight. Both teams threw everything they had and it certainly will go down as one of the greatest games/fights ever.  But could Gonzaga show some fatigue from that game?  Coach Few has been here before but he's never won and I thought about that often on Saturday when the Zags barely beat a #11 seed.  Baylor seems a little more battle-tested and fresher right now, especially on the defensive end.  I was blown away how effective Baylor was on both ends of the floor against a very good Houston squad, who entered #2 in the country in points allowed this year behind Loyola-Illinois.  The Bears don't beat themselves either with turnovers. They've had just 28 turnovers combined in their last four games.  Over the same span, Gonzaga's had 45 miscues.  I think it's a very bad sign for Gonzaga to struggle with a #11 seed as a 14-point favorite. I'll grab the points with Baylor, who I think is more than capable of winning outright.  But again college kids have played so inconsistently throughout the season this year because of distractions so anything is possible. Remember UCLA went from a 51-49 ugly win hitting 38.9% against Michigan to hit 57.6% and score 81-points in regulation against the #1 team in the nation.  That still makes zero sense to be.  FYI: Tonight is the first time Baylor has been an underdog this season. Their cheapest price was -3 1/2 @ West Virginia.  On Saturday Baylor scored the most points against Houston in one half this year (45) and held the Cougars to the fewest in one half (20). 

In terms of the total, I doubt Gonzaga shoots anywhere near the 58.7 percent they made from the field against UCLA.  But at the same time, Coach Few has to know his team has to tighten up defensively to beat Baylor. The Zags, in my opinion, were lazy on Saturday night defensively giving the Bruins way too many wide-open looks.  There were 130 teams in the NCAA that scored more points than the Bruins did this year on a per-game average.  That's hard to fathom if you watched the Final Four.  There were times of the game I swear that neither team could miss and the Bruins seemed to either convert with a made field goal or get fouled virtually every time down the court in the 2nd half.  Gonzaga has to be taking the mindset they have to play better defense tonight and good teams usually do following an embarrassing effort defensively.  Baylor also shot lights out against Houston and let's not forget the Cougars were #2 in the nation allowing 58.2 points per game behind Loyola-Chicago.  There are currently 137 teams in the country that play better defense than Gonzaga in terms of points per game.  48 for Baylor.  That's kind of shocking for the #1 team in the nation and considering the amount of feeble opponents they play in the Big West twice this year.  I'm going 'UNDER' this total.  Obviously this number was going to be inflated after watching Gonzaga and UCLA and the way Baylor performed offensively against Houston.  But both teams have to averaged 40-points per half for this game to go 'OVER' providing no overtime. That's a ton.  Plus it's not like Gonzaga tries to beat you with non-stop three-point shooting. Baylor looks awfully quick to get beat off the dribble.  Championship game totals are always set high.  I'll go low.  I just can't see both of these teams hitting 53 percent or better and that's what it will take to get 'OVER' 159. 

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Kudos to 10* Totals Club hitting 10* on Northern Ky 'OVER' 129 on  Tuesday

10* Totals Club now 42-25 w/ all NCAA Totals. 4-1 last five rated 10

Analysis of 5* Duquesne +6 on the buy Tuesday:

In their last eight games since January 26th, Duquesne has only lost one game by more than three points and that was to mighty Dayton by 10 on the road.  The Dukes are 20-8 overall, 10-5 on the road, and 10-6 in league play. This has been their best season in a number of years. They take on VCU who has lost outright in 5/6 and really struggling offensively failing to exceed 62-points in 4/5.  I can't say with any conviction the Dukes are a defensive juggernaut but they can score producing 67 or more in 8/9 and reaching the 80-point plateau in four of them.  VCU has been a solid go-against all season with a 10-19 spread ledger and 3-12 ATS on the season after playing one or more consecutive 'UNDERS'.  I think the Dukes stay competitive tonight. What's remarkable about VCU is they only have one healthy double-digit scorer in forward Marcus Santos-Silva at 12.4 points per game. 2nd-leading scorer, guard De'Riante Jenkins at 10.7 per game, is out indefinitely with 'personal' reasons.  Third-leading scorer, guard Marcus Evans at 9.9 a game, is out with a knee injury he sustained on 2/24.  Duquesne has five starters that average between 14-4 and 9.0 points per game and all are healthy including a senior and three juniors.  Duquesne has already had a nice 82-68 road win at St. Louis, where VCU lost on 2/21 by a 80-62 count.  The Rams are struggling without their 2nd and 3rd leading scorers and without many options offensively. I feel like I have the better team catching points and love the idea of +6 on the buy.  Analysis of 4 1/2* Arkansas 'OVER' 154 1/2 on Wednesday:

I can't imagine seeing any defense tonight for LSU and Arkansas.  The Razorbacks are an incredible 12-1 'OVER' in their last 13 games. I projected this total to be in the low 160's so there is some value.  LSU had a 7-game 'OVER' streak snapped by lackadaisical Texas A&M in their last game.  But consider this: The last meeting between these two teams produced a 79-77 final and LSU shot only 40.9 percent from the floor including 4-of-15 from beyond the arc (26%) and missed seven free throws (21-of-28).  In the prior two meetings before that the final scores were 90-89 and 94-88.  Arkansas is 6-0 'OVER' off a road loss and got beat at Georgia on Saturday.  The Hogs are 9-0 'OVER' this season revenging a loss in which they scored 75 or more points.  LSU 11-2 'OVER' on the road this season plus 22-10 'OVER' in the role of an underdog the past three years.

Maingate Group now 26-11 w/ 25* or higher since Auburn beat Alabama on November 30th 

16-3 Football/10-8 NCAA Hoops w/ all 25* or higher since 11/30  

Animal 38-21-1 NCAA Majors last 40 days in 2019 (see list below)

Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game in 2018

Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*'s last 7 years

Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018 on MC.

Maingate 21-0-1 from March 7th thru NCAA Title game 25*/15* plays in 2018!  

Maingate Group 10-8 so far in NCAA Hoop 25* plays

Since November 30th when Maingate had 35* Auburn over Alabama as Game of the Year now 16-3 w/ 35* and 25* plays and 10-8 w/ NCAA Hoop 25* plays

1/19:  25* SF 49ers -8.....37-20..... WIN

1/12:  25* Green Bay -4.....28-23.....WIN

1/5:    25* Seattle/Philly 'UNDER' 45....17-9....WIN

1/4:    25* New England 'OVER' 45....21-13....LOSS

1/1:    25* Baylor +4 1/2....14-26.....LOSS

12/29: 25* SF 49ers -3....26-21....WIN

12/28: 25* Clemson -2 1/2....29-23...WIN

12/27: 25* Air Force -2 1/2....31-21....WIN

12/24: 25* BYU -2...34-38....LOSS

12/22: 25* KC -6......26-3....WIN

12/21: 25* SF/Rams 'OVER' 45....34-31....WIN

12/15:  25* Vikings/Chargers 'OVER' 45....39-10....WIN

12/14:  25* Kansas -23...NCAA Hoops..98-57...WIN

12/12:  25* Baltimore 'OVER' 23 1st half...21-7 @ half....WIN

12/11:  25* LA Chargers -3....45-10.....WIN

12/10:  35* Clemson -28 1/2...62-17....WIN

12/2:    25* Seattle -2 1/2...37-30....WIN

12/1:    25* Houston Texans +3 1/2......28-22.....WIN

11/30:  35* Auburn +3 1/2..48-45...WIN

Remember guys, Maingate Group is the service that hit 21 straight in March Madness two years ago

10* Totals Club now 12-5 last 17 rated w/ LSU/Clemson 'OVER' in title game

2/2:      10* SF/KC 'OVER' 53........31-20.....LOSS

1/13:   10* Clemson/LSU 'OVER' 65 1/2.....42-25....WIN

1/2:     10* Cincinnati/BC 'OVER' 53....38-6....LOSS

12/29: 10* New England/Miami 'OVER' 45....27-24....WIN

12/28: 10* LSU/Okla 'OVER' 76....63-28....WIN

12/26: 10* Pittsburgh Univ 'OVER' 49....34-30....WIN

12/22: 10* Baltimore 'OVER' 49.  31-15....LOSS

12/21: 10* New England 'OVER' 37...24-17...34-31....WIN

12/16: 10* New Orleans 'OVER' 48 1/2....34-7...LOSS

12/15: 10* Pittsburgh 'UNDER' 37.....17-10....WIN

12/8:   10* New England 'UNDER' 49....23-16.....WIN

12/7:   10* Clemson 'OVER' 56....62-17....WIN

12/6:   10* Oregon 'OVER' 45 1/2....37-15....WIN

12/1:   10* NY Jets 'OVER' 42 1/2....22-6....LOSS

11/30:  10* Wyoming 'UNDER' 41 1/2.....17-7....WIN

11/29:  10* Buffalo Univ 'OVER' 53 1/2....49-30....WIN

11/28:  10* Dallas 'UNDER' 47.....26-15....WIN

Animal 38-21-1 last 40 Days w/ NCAA Majors missing Texas Tech in OT Monday

4/8: 4* Texas Tech +1 1/2  Loss

4/6: 5* Auburn/UVA 'OVER' 132  Loss

4/5: 4* Liscomb +2  Loss

4/2: 4* Lipscomb -1  WIN

3/31: 4* Ky 'OVER' 142 1/2  WIN

3/30: 4* Gonzaga 'OVER' 136 1/2  WIN

3/29: 4* Duke 'OVER' 143  WIN

3/29: 4 1/2* UNC -5 1/2  Loss

3/28: 4* Oregon +8 1/2  WIN

3/26: 4 1/2* Wichita State +4 1/2 WIN

3/25: 4* West Va -10  Loss

3/24: 4* Houston -6  WIN

3/23 4 1/2* Villanova +3 1/2  Loss

3/23: 4* Kentucky -5  WIN

3/22: 4 1/2* Wisconsin 'OVER' 116 1/2  WIN

3/21: 4* Gonzaga 'OVER' 152  Loss

3/21: 4* Belmont +3  WIN

3/21: 4* Auburn -5 1/2  Loss

3/20: 4* Alabama 'UNDER' 144  Loss thanks to OT

3/19: 4 1/2* Hofstra +9  WIN

3/19: 4* Belmont -3  WIN

3/17: 4 1/2* Auburn/Tenn 'OVER' 144:  WIN

3/16: 4 1/2* Wichita State +5 1/2  WIN

3/16: 4* Kentucky -1 1/2  Lose

3/15: 4* Xavier +7 1/2  WIN

3/15: 4* South Carolina +8 Loss by 9

3/15: 4* St Bonaventure 'UNDER' 130  WIN

3/14: 4* Wichita State -11  WIN

3/14: 4* Duquesne +2  Loss

3/14: 4* Fla State +1  WIN

3/13: 4* Texas A&M -3 1/2  WIN

3/13: 4* Air Force -11  WIN

3/12: 4 1/2* Gonzaga -8 1st half/-14 game (split action).  Loss

3/12: 4* Georgia Tech +2  Loss

3/11: 4* Hofstra 'OVER' 147  WIN

3/11: 4* Hofstra -10 1/2 Loss

3/10: 4* Penn State -8  WIN

3/9: 4* Washington -2 in the 1st half.  Loss

3/9: 4 1/2* Ky 'OVER' 128.  Loss

3/9: 4* Boston College +3 1/2 Loss

3/8: 4* Drake 'UNDER' 140. Push.  86 in 2nd half after 54 in 1st half

3/7: 4 1/2* Houston -12 1/2  Loss by 1.5 points

3/6: 4* Clemson 'UNDER' 133 WIN

3/6: 4* Dayton -6 1/2 1st half  WIN

3/5:  4* Miami Ohio/Kent 'UNDER' 144 WIN

3/5: 4* Wisconsin-Green Bay -3  WIN

3/3: 4* Texas Tech -4 1/2 1st half  WIN

3/2: 4 1/2* South Florida +4  WIN

3/2: 4* Stanford +1 1/2  WIN

3/1: 4 1/2* Penn State +6 1/2  WIN

3/1: 4* Houston 'OVER' 133 1/2  Lose by 1/2-point

3/1: 4* Utah State +1 WIN

2/27: 4* Towson State +3  WIN

2/26: 4* Northern Iowa +1 1/2  WIN

2/26: 4* Nevada 'OVER' 152 1/2  WIN

The Animal has flat out owned Super Bowls:

Animal 13-3 the last eight years w/ Super Bowl sides & totals.

Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game

Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*'s last 3 years

Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018.   

Modified Consensus is flat out scary w/ Big plays in RED:

158-103 Hoops as of 2/27/2019

Bowl Service Plays in RED finish 33-16 on season w/ 10* Totals Club hitting 10* on Clemson 'OVER'

December 31st, 2018.  A day that will live in infamy in the Consensus Biz!

Service plays in RED finish 16-6 on New Years Eve & New Years Day combined.  That's 33-16 in all Bowls in RED this postseason! 

& what a football season J.J. is having.  86-48 in NCAA Football including 10-4 in Bowls!  

HOOPS, HOOPS, HOOPS 2018 recap:

Maingate 21-0-1 from March 7th thru NCAA Title game 25*/15* plays

Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game

Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*'s last 3 years

Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018

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Analysis of Warriors -4 in NBA finale:

I didn't want to lay double-digits with Golden State in the first two games and split.  Then in game #3 my gut told me not to trust the Cavaliers over four quarters and use them early. Unfortunately they miraculously blew an eight-point lead with two minutes to go in the first quarter @ -1 and the end result was a push and naturally covered the first half. As a buddy who is an on-line oddsmaker said "it's amazing how much respect a home team gets when trailing 2-0" referring to the fact the Cavs were actually favored in the first quarter and pick'em in the first half in game #3 despite being an underdog in the game of more than three-points.  Needless to say, quite unusual, and only in the playoffs. Now another strange intangible tonight.  For the first time in this series the two teams play with just one day off so depth may play a factor and the return of Andre Iguodala to the lineup is obviously huge.  In addition I thought Cleveland wasted terrific games by Kevin Love and Rodney Hood, although despite his scoring, Hood was -12 when in the game (worst on the team). LeBron spoke yesterday about the IQ of Golden State and I would concur. Having a guy like Iguodala back makes a significant impact. He was +14 in game #3.  Golden State won by eight points despite Curry and Thompson a combined 7-of-27 for 25.9 percent.  I doubt that happens again.  LeBron did everything he could do to get others involved and I thought he had terrific help in game #3. But it still didn't matter.  Now Golden State is a game away from accomplishing something unique in this rivalry: a four-game sweep in the finals.  That should be incentive tonight and Durant sure did have that look in his eye of an assassin ready to finish the job.  I figured if the Cavaliers had any fight left it would have showed up in game #3 and it did for all but the final two minutes before talent prevailed as usual.  I wonder how many Cavaliers tonight really want to extend this series and travel back to the bay area for a game #5. LeBron played all but 70 seconds of game #3.  How fatigued must he be playing on one day of rest with his three-point shot abandoning his arsenal on Wednesday night. Curry hit nine three-pointers in game #2 and then was 1-for-10 from beyond the arc two nights ago. Yet the Warriors still beat the Cavaliers for the 10th time in the last 11 meetings.  I know Cleveland is 7-2 in elimination games since 2015 and that includes three wins in these playoffs. Last year Cleveland forced a fifth game in this exact same scenario and hit 24 three-point shots in game #4.  Golden State will undoubtedly be a double-digit favorite in game #5 should it be necessary and since I have yet to take them this series, I'll back them tonight at this discounted price and figure while it won't be easy, talent should once again prevail in the end.  I caught -4 at 5dimes.com.

Last 3 years Animal NCAA Hoop BEST BETS rated 5* or 4 1/2* are 61-34 ATS 

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Excellent start guys and we've added 5 newcomers to the panel that are paying off tremendous dividends. Dr B and Fez for both NFL and NCAA. P Stone for NCAA.  W Sharp and Teddy C for NFL.  NFL Premium Plays off to a fast start and Wildcat and 10* Totals Club have been especially sharp.  Neri is simply sensational with the 4* moves to date.  

Mark TheRealAnimal.com animalsports@msn.com 

2022 Modified Consensus-FOOTALL..it's here!

New Blood on the panel this fall for Football 2021.  Sign up now for a SEASONAL PACKAGE Discount! Contact Mark is you have any questions at animalsports@msn.com.

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